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    AuthorVanhoucke, Mario (8)Veredas, David (3)Boute, Robert (2)Coelho, José (2)Aghezzaf, El-Houssaine (1)Aouam, Tarik (1)Babic, Sladana (1)Batselier, Jordy (1)Boiger, Michael (1)Boros, Smaranda (1)View MoreSubjectProject Scheduling (4)Literature Review (2)Project Management (2)Activity Preemption (1)Career Anchor (1)Clinical Studies (1)Cognitive Style (1)Combination Studies (1)Comparative Studies (1)Copulas (1)View MoreDate Issued
    2019 (22)
    Knowledge Domain/IndustryOperations & Supply Chain Management (12)Accounting & Finance (5)Entrepreneurship (3)People Management & Leadership (2)Strategy (2)Special Industries : Healthcare Management (1)Publication Type
    Journal article with impact factor (22)

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    A study of the critical chain project management method applied to a multiproject system

    Eduardo Cooper Ordoñez, Robert; Vanhoucke, Mario; Coelho, José; Novaski, Olívio (Sage, 2019)
    In 1997, Eliyahu Goldratt proposed a method called critical chain project management (CCPM) to minimize the inefficiencies identified in traditional project management. The project management community accepted the proposed method as a viable alternative. However, to allow its implementation with a multiproject system, more research was necessary. Seeking to identify the key factors that influence the performance of the multiproject system applying the CCPM method, we performed a case study. Logistic regression analysis showed that applying the CCPM method in a multiproject system allows for better time estimation of activities and facilitates the allocation of critical resources.
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    Comparative and combined effectiveness of innovative therapies in cancer: A literature review

    Geldof, Tine; Rawal, Smita; Van Dyck, Walter; Huys, Isabelle (Future Medicine Ltd, 2019)
    To achieve therapeutic innovation in oncology, already expensive novel medicines are often concomitantly combined to potentially enhance effectiveness. While this aggravates the pricing problem, comparing effectiveness of novel yet expensive (concomitant) treatments is much needed for healthcare decision-making to deliver effective but affordable treatments. This study reviewed published clinical trials and real-world studies of targeted and immune therapies. In total, 48 studies compared and/or combined multiple novel products on breast, colorectal, lung and melanoma cancers. To a great extent, products evaluated in each study were owned by one manufacturer. However, cross-manufacturer assessments are also needed. Next to costs and intensive market competition, the absence of a regulatory framework enforcing real-world multiproduct studies prevents these from being conducted. Trusted third parties could facilitate such real-world studies, for which appropriate and efficient data access is needed.
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    An agency perspective for multi-mode project scheduling with time/cost trade-offs

    Aouam, Tarik; Vanhoucke, Mario (Elsevier, 2019)
    Project scheduling takes the perspective of a single decision-maker, where the owner is directly involved in the management and control of the project. In this paper, we study the multi-mode project scheduling problem from an agency perspective, where agency arises from the risk-averse contractor’s hidden effort, which influences the duration and cost of project activities. We formulate the owner’s problem of determining the optimal parameters of a linear incentive contract as a bi-level program, where the lower level is a multi-mode project scheduling problem with time/cost trade-offs, representing the contractor’s problem. Two benchmarks for the optimal contract are formulated, providing bounds on the expected total cost to the owner, and performance measures are defined accordingly. A stylized model of the owner’s problem is presented and solved in closed form for the simple case where an aggregate effort can be exerted at the project level, with restrictive assumptions on the variance of noise and the cost of effort. However, when effort is exerted at the activity level, solving the owner’s problem involves the solution of the multi-mode project scheduling problem. A numerical study for such situation is presented, which illustrates the trade-off between incentives and risk, and the effect of this trade-off on different project related costs. The findings from the stylized model and those from the numerical results of the presented example are compared in a computational experiment on 15 randomly generated projects.
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    A data-driven framework for predicting weather impact on high-volume low-margin retail products

    Verstraete, Guylian; Aghezzaf, El-Houssaine; Desmet, Bram (Elsevier, 2019)
    Accurate demand forecasting is of critical importance to retail companies operating in high-volume low-margin industries. Inaccuracies in the forecasts lead either to stock-outs or to excess inventories, resulting in either lost sales or higher working capital, and for both cases in extra unnecessary costs. Prediction accuracy is essential to retail companies having a part of their product portfolio manufactured in low-cost countries and requiring long delivery times. It is rather vital when the demand for these goods is strongly weather dependent. The combination of long delivery times and weather dependence creates a business challenge, as the availability period of accurate weather information is much shorter than the lead time. In this paper we propose a methodology that handles the impact of both the short-term (with available weather data) and the long-term weather uncertainty on the forecast. For the former, the proposed framework is capable of automatically selecting the best prediction model. For latter, the framework fits a distribution on simulated and aggregated sales using the short-term regression model with historical weather data. This framework has been tested on a company's sales data and is proven to satisfactorily address the challenges that the company is facing.
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    Not all international assignments are created equal: HQ-subsidiary knowledge transfer patterns across types of assignments and types of knowledge

    Duvivier, Florence; Peeters, Carine; Harzing, Anne-Wil (Elsevier, 2019)
    Drawing on 50 semi-structured interviews in a case study of a Belgian multinational and its foreign subsidiary in Poland, we develop new insights into how using different types of international assignments (long-term expatriation, short-term expatriation, short-term inpatriation) allows a HQ-subsidiary dyad to transfer different types of knowledge (declarative, procedural, axiomatic, relational), both from and to HQ, during and after the assignment. We show how each type of assignment acts as a unique knowledge transfer channel, and why it is critical that HQ-subsidiary dyads use an appropriate combination and sequence of international assignments reflecting their specific knowledge transfer needs.
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    Resource-constrained project scheduling with activity splitting and setup times

    Vanhoucke, Mario; Coelho, José (Elsevier, 2019)
    This paper presents a new solution algorithm to solve the resource-constrained project scheduling problem with activity splitting and setup times. The option of splitting activities, known as activity preemption, has been studied in literature from various angles, and an overview of the main contributions will be given. The solution algorithm makes use of a meta-heuristic search for the resource-constrained project scheduling problem (RCPSP) using network transformations to split activities in subparts. More precisely, the project network is split up such that all possible preemptive parts are incorporated into an extended network as so-called activity segments, and setup times are incorporated between the different activity segments. Due to the inherent complexity to solve the problem for such huge project networks, a solution approach is proposed that selects the appropriate activity segments and ignores the remaining segments using a boolean satisfiability problem solver, and afterwards schedules these projects to near-optimality with the renewable resource constraints. The algorithm has been tested using a large computational experiment with five types of setup times. Moreover, an extension to the problem with overlaps between preemptive parts of activities has been proposed and it is shown that our algorithm can easily cope with this extension without changing it. Computational experiments show that activity preemption sometimes leads to makespan reductions without requiring a lot of splits in the activities. Moreover, is shown that the degree of these makespan reductions depends on the network and resource indicators of the project instance.
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    Flexible multivariate hill estimators (Accepted)

    Dominicy, Yves; Heikkilä, Matias; Ilmonen, Pauliina; Veredas, David (Elsevier, 2019)
    Dominicy et al. (2017) introduce a family of Hill estimators for elliptically distributed and heavy tailed random vectors. They propose to use the univariate Hill to a norm of order of the data. The norms are homogeneous functions of order one. We show that the family of estimators can be generalized to homogeneous functions of any order and, more importantly, that ellipticity is not required. Only multivariate regular variation is needed, as it is preserved under well-behaved homogeneous functions. This enables us to have flexibility in terms of the estimator and the underlying distribution. Consistency and asymptotic normality are shown, and a Monte Carlo study is conducted to assess the finite sample properties under different asymmetric and heavy tailed multivariate distributions. We illustrate the estimators with an application to 10 years of daily data of paid claims from property insurance policies across 15 regions of Belgium.
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    Comparison and classification of flexible distributions for multivariate skew and heavy-tailed data

    Babic, Sladana; Ley, Christophe; Veredas, David (MDPI, 2019)
    We present, compare and classify popular families of flexible multivariate distributions. Our classification is based on the type of symmetry (spherical, elliptical, central symmetry or asymmetry) and the tail behaviour (a single tail weight parameter or multiple tail weight parameters). We compare the families both theoretically (relevant properties and distinctive features) and with a Monte Carlo study (comparing the fitting abilities in finite samples).
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    The impact of solution representations on heuristic net present value optimization in discrete time/cost trade-off project scheduling with multiple cash flow and payment models

    Leyman, Pieter; Van Driessche, Niels; Vanhoucke, Mario; De Causmaecker, Patrick (Elsevier, 2019)
    The goal of this paper is to investigate the impact of different solution representations, as part of a metaheuristic approach, on net present value optimization in project scheduling. We specifically consider the discrete time/cost trade-off problem with net present value optimization and apply three payment models from literature. Each of these models determines the timing and size of cash flows from the contractor’s viewpoint. The contribution of this paper to literature is twofold. First, we include cash flow distribution variants in the payment models, to also distinguish between different manners in which value is created and costs are incurred, as part of a general model for the contractor’s cash flow management. This general model is developed in order to explicitly include the progress of activities in the determination of the timing and size of payments to the contractor, which is currently lacking in literature. Second, we employ an iterated local search framework to compare different solution representations and their corresponding local search and repair heuristics. The goal is to unambiguously show that the choice of a solution representation deserves a fair amount of attention, alongside the selection of appropriate diversification and intensification operators, even though this is not always the case in literature. Each part of the proposed algorithm is validated on a large dataset of test instances, generated to allow for a broad comparison of the solution representations. Our results clearly quantify the statistically significant differences between three types of representations for the project scheduling problem under study.
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    A heuristic procedure to solve the project staffing problem with discrete time/resource trade-offs and personnel scheduling constraints

    Van Den Eeckhout, Mick; Maenhout, Broos; Vanhoucke, Mario (Pergamon Press, 2019)
    Highlights • Project staffing with discrete time/resource trade-offs and calendar constraints. • An iterated local search procedure is proposed. • Different problem decomposition techniques are applied. Abstract When scheduling projects under resource constraints, assumptions are typically made with respect to the resource availability and activities are planned each with its own duration and resource requirements. In resource scheduling, important assumptions are made with respect to the staffing requirements. Both problems are typically solved in a sequential manner leading to a suboptimal outcome. We integrate these two interrelated scheduling problems to determine the optimal personnel budget that minimises the overall cost. Integrating these problems increases the scheduling flexibility, which improves the overall performance. In addition, we consider some resource demand flexibility in this research as an activity can be performed in multiple modes. In this paper, we present an iterated local search procedure for the integrated multi-mode project scheduling and personnel staffing problem. Detailed computational experiments are presented to evaluate different decomposition heuristics and comparison is made with alternative optimisation techniques.
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