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    Coevolutionary cycles of convergence: an extrapolation from ICT industry

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    Publication type
    Journal article with impact factor
    Author
    Hacklin, Fredrik
    Marxt, Christian
    Fahrni, F.
    Publication Year
    2009
    Journal
    Technology Forecasting and Social Change
    Publication Volume
    76
    Publication Issue
    6
    Publication Begin page
    723
    Publication End page
    736
    
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    Abstract
    Convergence between technologies can be regarded as an increasingly emerging trend, and has received particular attention in the coming-together of previously distinct products and solutions within the information and communication technologies (ICT) industry. In previous research, the overall impact of the convergence phenomenon remains ambiguous. Whereas some scholars suggest convergence to be associated with disintegration, entry and growth, others relate the phenomenon to opposite effects, such as consolidation and shakeouts. This inconsistency in managerial conceptions on convergence formulates a need for an integrated understanding. Within a multi-case study approach, the convergence within ICT has been observed through examining the coevolution of actors in a converging environment, and patterns in innovation dynamics and managerial responses have been identified. In reflection with existing models of innovation cycles, a model for convergence innovation processes is elaborated and discussed. In particular, the reasoning within the ICT case set is transferred onto the currently emerging entrepreneurial activities in the intersection between nano- and bio-technologies (NBT), resulting in a comparison between ICT and NBT convergences, and deriving recommendations from a retrospective to a predictive context.
    Keyword
    Convergence, Innovation Process, Coevolutionary Cycles, ICT, Nanotechnology, Multiple-case Study
    Knowledge Domain/Industry
    Entrepreneurship
    DOI
    10.1016/j.techfore.2009.03.003
    URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12127/5833
    ae974a485f413a2113503eed53cd6c53
    10.1016/j.techfore.2009.03.003
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